Culture · Polymarket · Closes Jan 8, 2027
Highest grossing movie in 2026? Odds
As of Nov 12, 2026 04:05 UTC, traders on Polymarket put Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 92%, up 2 points in 24 hours. $104K traded in the last 24 hours; $18.6M in total.
- Spider-Man: Brand New Day 92%
- Avengers: Doomsday 8%
- Wicked: For Good <1%
- Wuthering Heights <1%
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Spider-Man: Brand New Day | 92% | +2 |
| Avengers: Doomsday | 8% | −2.6 |
| Wicked: For Good | <1% | ±0 |
| Wuthering Heights | <1% | ±0 |
| Scream 7 | <1% | ±0 |
| Michael | <1% | ±0 |
| Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu | <1% | ±0 |
| Toy Story 5 | <1% | ±0 |
| The Odyssey | <1% | ±0 |
| The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping | <1% | ±0 |
| Dune: Messiah | <1% | ±0 |
| Project Hail Mary | <1% | ±0 |
| The Super Mario Galaxy Movie | <1% | ±0 |
| Jumanji 3 | <1% | ±0 |
View the market on Polymarket ↗
About this market
This Polymarket market asks which film will earn the highest domestic gross during calendar year 2026. It resolves to the title with the top figure in the "Gross" column of the Box Office Mojo calendar-gross table for the year, once data for December 31 is published. Only domestic earnings that fall inside the calendar year count, so money earned on other dates is excluded. If two films tie exactly, the one that comes first alphabetically wins. If no final data is available by January 7 (ET), another credible source will be chosen. The market closes on 2027-01-08. Movement can come from release date changes, opening weekend results, reviews and audience word of mouth, competition from other releases, and how long each film stays in theaters.
FAQ
What are the current odds for “Highest grossing movie in 2026?”?
At our last update (Nov 12, 2026 04:05 UTC), Polymarket traders priced Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 92%. Prices move with trading and are not a forecast by That's Gonna.
When does this market close?
The market closes on 2027-01-08. Resolution uses Box Office Mojo data once figures for December 31 are available.
How does this market resolve?
It resolves to the film with the highest domestic gross in the "Gross" column of the Box Office Mojo calendar-gross table for the year. Only earnings inside the calendar year count, and an exact tie goes to the film that comes first alphabetically.
Odds are market prices set by traders, not predictions by That's Gonna and not financial or betting advice. 18+ only; platform eligibility varies by country and state.