Culture · Kalshi · Closes Jan 1, 2027
Who will be Time's Person of the Year for 2026? Odds
As of Nov 12, 2026 04:05 UTC, traders on Kalshi put Zohran Mamdani at 27%, up 2 points in 24 hours. $108K traded in the last 24 hours; $3.1M in total.
- Zohran Mamdani 25%
- James Talarico 20%
- Abdul El-Sayed 17%
- Scott Colom 13%
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change |
|---|---|---|
| Zohran Mamdani | 27% | +2 |
| James Talarico | 18% | −2 |
| Abdul El-Sayed | 18% | +1 |
| Scott Colom | 16% | +4 |
| Joshua Turek | 12% | +2 |
| Annie Andrews | 12% | ±0 |
| Mark Carney | 11% | +1 |
| Adam Hamilton | 10% | −1 |
| Pope Leo XIV | 9% | +1 |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 8% | −2 |
| Jon Ossoff | 8% | ±0 |
| Donald Trump | 6% | ±0 |
| Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva | 6% | +2 |
| AI | 5% | ±0 |
| Dario Amodei | 5% | +1 |
About this market
This Kalshi market asks who Time magazine will name its Person of the Year for 2026. It lists a range of candidates, many of them politicians, along with world leaders such as Mark Carney, Pope Leo XIV, Benjamin Netanyahu and Donald Trump. According to the rules published on the market, it resolves to Yes if Taylor Swift is named Time Person of the Year for 2026. That wording differs from the candidate list shown, so readers should check the official Kalshi rules for the exact terms. The market closes on 2027-01-01. Prices could shift with news coverage of major global events, elections and political developments, public speculation about Time's editorial choices, and any statements from the magazine ahead of its yearly announcement.
FAQ
What are the current odds for “Who will be Time's Person of the Year for 2026?”?
At our last update (Nov 12, 2026 04:05 UTC), Kalshi traders priced Zohran Mamdani at 27%. Prices move with trading and are not a forecast by That's Gonna.
When does this market close?
The market closes on 2027-01-01.
How does this market resolve?
According to the listed rules, the market resolves to Yes if Taylor Swift is Time Person of the Year for 2026.
Odds are market prices set by traders, not predictions by That's Gonna and not financial or betting advice. 18+ only; platform eligibility varies by country and state.